When the Ukrainian president visited Turkey a few days ago, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan urged Russia to extend the Black Sea grain agreement for at least three months and announced that Russian President Vladimir Putin will visit Turkey in August . According to reports, Zelensky and Erdogan also discussed the exchange of prisoners between Russia and Ukraine during their talks, which is also a matter that Erdogan will discuss with Putin. Zelenskiy said he would wait for the results to comment, but said discussions with Erdogan had touched on the specifics of the release of all captives, including Ukrainian children who had been forcibly sent to Russia.
This news revealed that Russia may really be preparing for a way out. As we all know, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is the one who speaks to both Russia and Ukraine. Both sides trust him, and even the Black Sea grain transportation agreement was facilitated by him. This time Erdogan announced in a high-profile manner that Putin will visit Turkey It shows that Putin has begun to find a way out in private, because since the outbreak of the Russo-Ukraine war, Putin has not visited outside the Commonwealth of Independent States.
Moreover, according to the previous prisoner exchange agreement, the Ukrainian Azov commander who was captured in Mariupol returned to Ukraine with Zelensky, and according to the previous agreement, they needed to stay in Turkey until the end of the war.
In addition, the United States finally agreed to aid cluster bombs, which will have a major impact on the frontline Russian army. It is said that the United States privately informed Russia that if Russia does not retreat to the 1991 border, the assistance may be further upgraded. The 300-kilometer Army tactical missile may Will also talk.
After Wagner’s mutiny, Putin’s thinking may have changed. It is expected that his bottom line will change from keeping the four Udon states and Crimea to not being held accountable for war crimes. Now it seems that Ukraine’s demands for land return and compensation are all negotiable. It depends on whether Ukraine is willing to give up the investigation of Russia’s high-level officials, especially Putin’s war crimes.
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